Portugal v Croatia
soccer_world_cup · Thursday 2 July, 11:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.62
Portugal $1.92
Croatia $4.94
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Portugal | Croatia | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $3.45-4.7% | $1.85-3.6% | $5.00+1.3% | 3.0% | — | 83.8 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $3.55-1.9% | $1.87-2.5% | $5.10+3.3% | 1.3% | — | 83.1 |
| 3 | Betfair Ex Uk | $3.55-1.9% | $1.87-2.5% | $5.10+3.3% | 1.3% | — | 80.3 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.55-1.9% | $1.87-2.5% | $5.10+3.3% | 1.3% | — | 76.3 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.45-4.7% | $1.81-5.7% | $4.80-2.7% | 5.1% | — | 73.1 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.45-4.7% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.80-2.7% | 5.4% | — | 66.5 |
| 7 | Fanduel | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.90-0.7% | 5.4% | — | 63.9 |
| 8 | Sportsbet | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $5.00+1.3% | 5.0% | — | 62.4 |
| 9 | Draftkings | $3.60-0.5% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.60-6.8% | 4.2% | — | 57.1 |
| 10 | Grosvenor | $3.45-4.7% | $1.81-5.7% | $4.80-2.7% | 5.1% | — | 56.1 |
| 11 | Skybet | $3.30-8.8% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.75-3.8% | 6.9% | — | 52.5 |
| 12 | Betonlineag | $3.42-5.5% | $1.84-4.1% | $5.00+1.3% | 3.6% | — | 51.3 |
| 13 | Coral | $3.50-3.3% | $1.85-3.6% | $4.40-10.9% | 5.4% | — | 44.6 |
| 14 | Unibet Uk | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.60-6.8% | 6.7% | — | 44.2 |
| 15 | Betfred Uk | $3.50-3.3% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.50-8.8% | 5.4% | — | 43.6 |
| 16 | Leovegas | $3.45-4.7% | $1.81-5.7% | $4.80-2.7% | 5.1% | — | 43.3 |
| 17 | Livescorebet | $3.35-7.5% | $1.78-7.2% | $4.70-4.8% | 7.3% | — | 38.6 |
| 18 | Fanatics | $3.40-6.1% | $1.87-2.5% | $4.50-8.8% | 5.1% | — | 35.1 |
| 19 | Casumo | $3.45-4.7% | $1.81-5.7% | $4.80-2.7% | 5.1% | — | 35.0 |
| 20 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.50-3.3% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.33-12.3% | 6.3% | — | 34.3 |
| 21 | Bovada | $3.55-1.9% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.60-6.8% | 4.6% | — | 33.6 |
| 22 | PointsBet | $3.40-6.1% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.50-8.8% | 6.3% | — | 31.3 |
| 23 | Williamhill | $3.30-8.8% | $1.75-8.8% | $4.60-6.8% | 9.2% | — | 28.6 |
| 24 | TAB | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.50-8.8% | 7.2% | — | 28.5 |
| 25 | Paddypower | $3.30-8.8% | $1.75-8.8% | $4.75-3.8% | 8.5% | — | 27.8 |
| 26 | TABtouch | $3.35-7.5% | $1.78-7.2% | $4.70-4.8% | 7.3% | — | 27.2 |
| 27 | Betr | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.50-8.8% | 7.2% | — | 26.8 |
| 28 | Mybookieag | $3.40-6.1% | $1.82-5.2% | $4.60-6.8% | 6.1% | — | 23.9 |
| 29 | Virginbet | $3.35-7.5% | $1.78-7.2% | $4.70-4.8% | 7.3% | — | 22.8 |
| 30 | PlayUp | $3.30-8.8% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.50-8.8% | 8.1% | — | 22.6 |
| 31 | Bet Right | $3.40-6.1% | $1.81-5.7% | $4.40-10.9% | 7.4% | — | 22.5 |
| 32 | Betway | $3.40-6.1% | $1.77-7.8% | $4.20-14.9% | 9.7% | — | 20.8 |
| 33 | Betmgm | $3.50-3.3% | $1.83-4.6% | $4.33-12.3% | 6.3% | — | 16.0 |
| 34 | Dabble | $3.30-8.8% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.50-8.8% | 8.1% | — | 14.3 |
| 35 | Boylesports | $3.40-6.1% | $1.80-6.2% | $4.50-8.8% | 7.2% | — | 12.4 |
| 36 | Williamhill Us | $3.40-6.1% | $1.79-6.7% | $4.50-8.8% | 7.5% | — | 0.0 |
| 37 | Sport888 | $3.25-10.2% | $1.75-8.8% | $4.60-6.8% | 9.7% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 37 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →