Brazil v Japan
soccer_world_cup · Monday 29 June, 5:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.96
Japan $5.44
Brazil $1.77
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Japan | Brazil | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $4.00+1.0% | $5.70+4.9% | $1.72-3.1% | 0.7% | — | 84.2 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $4.00+1.0% | $5.70+4.9% | $1.73-2.5% | 0.3% | — | 83.6 |
| 3 | Betfair Ex Uk | $4.00+1.0% | $5.70+4.9% | $1.73-2.5% | 0.3% | — | 81.0 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.00+1.0% | $5.70+4.9% | $1.73-2.5% | 0.3% | — | 79.6 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.80-4.0% | $5.50+1.2% | $1.65-7.0% | 5.1% | — | 76.3 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.80-4.0% | $5.50+1.2% | $1.64-7.6% | 5.5% | — | 71.8 |
| 7 | Betus | $3.85-2.7% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.69-4.8% | 4.2% | — | 65.9 |
| 8 | Unibet Uk | $3.80-4.0% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.70-4.2% | 4.2% | — | 62.1 |
| 9 | Fanduel | $3.70-6.5% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.69-4.8% | 4.7% | — | 61.8 |
| 10 | Grosvenor | $3.75-5.3% | $5.50+1.2% | $1.67-5.9% | 4.7% | — | 58.8 |
| 11 | Betonlineag | $3.81-3.8% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.70-4.2% | 3.6% | — | 51.0 |
| 12 | Skybet | $3.75-5.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-5.9% | 6.5% | — | 49.6 |
| 13 | Leovegas | $3.80-4.0% | $5.50+1.2% | $1.65-7.0% | 5.1% | — | 48.3 |
| 14 | Draftkings | $3.90-1.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.69-4.8% | 4.8% | — | 46.4 |
| 15 | Livescorebet | $3.70-6.5% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.63-8.2% | 6.9% | — | 46.2 |
| 16 | Fanatics | $3.80-4.0% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.69-4.8% | 4.5% | — | 41.5 |
| 17 | Sportsbet | $3.80-4.0% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.2% | 5.1% | — | 41.4 |
| 18 | Williamhill | $3.60-9.1% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.2% | 6.6% | — | 41.0 |
| 19 | Casumo | $3.80-4.0% | $5.50+1.2% | $1.65-7.0% | 5.1% | — | 40.6 |
| 20 | PointsBet | $3.60-9.1% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.71-3.7% | 5.3% | — | 39.6 |
| 21 | Betfred Uk | $3.75-5.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.2% | 5.5% | — | 36.2 |
| 22 | TABtouch | $3.70-6.5% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.63-8.2% | 6.9% | — | 34.6 |
| 23 | Paddypower | $3.75-5.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.65-7.0% | 7.3% | — | 32.7 |
| 24 | Coral | $3.80-4.0% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.70-4.2% | 6.0% | — | 31.7 |
| 25 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.75-5.3% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.70-4.2% | 6.3% | — | 31.0 |
| 26 | Virginbet | $3.70-6.5% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.63-8.2% | 6.9% | — | 30.5 |
| 27 | Betr | $3.70-6.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.68-5.3% | 6.6% | — | 29.9 |
| 28 | Betway | $3.80-4.0% | $4.75-12.6% | $1.67-5.9% | 7.2% | — | 27.7 |
| 29 | Bovada | $3.90-1.5% | $4.90-9.9% | $1.70-4.2% | 4.9% | — | 26.0 |
| 30 | Dabble | $3.60-9.1% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.2% | 6.6% | — | 22.8 |
| 31 | Boylesports | $3.75-5.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-5.9% | 6.5% | — | 21.7 |
| 32 | Mybookieag | $3.75-5.3% | $5.10-6.2% | $1.68-5.3% | 5.8% | — | 21.5 |
| 33 | Bet Right | $3.70-6.5% | $4.90-9.9% | $1.67-5.9% | 7.3% | — | 20.5 |
| 34 | PlayUp | $3.60-9.1% | $4.60-15.4% | $1.70-4.2% | 8.3% | — | 18.7 |
| 35 | TAB | $3.60-9.1% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.68-5.3% | 7.3% | — | 18.2 |
| 36 | Betvictor | $3.75-5.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-5.9% | 6.5% | — | 14.0 |
| 37 | Betfair Sb Uk | $3.25-17.9% | $4.50-17.2% | $1.62-8.7% | 14.7% | — | 7.4 |
| 38 | Betmgm | $3.75-5.3% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.69-4.8% | 6.7% | — | 7.3 |
| 39 | Williamhill Us | $3.65-7.8% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-5.9% | 7.3% | — | 0.0 |
| 40 | Sport888 | $3.50-11.6% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.67-5.9% | 9.3% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 40 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →