Brazil v Japan
WORLDCUP · Monday 29 June, 5:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.93
Japan $5.44
Brazil $1.78
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Japan | Brazil | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.80-3.3% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.80+1.1% | 0.7% | — | 78.5 |
| 2 | Smarkets | $4.00+1.8% | $5.70+4.8% | $1.72-3.4% | 0.7% | — | 76.3 |
| 3 | Matchbook | $4.00+1.8% | $5.70+4.8% | $1.73-2.9% | 0.3% | — | 75.6 |
| 4 | Betfair Ex Uk | $4.00+1.8% | $5.70+4.8% | $1.73-2.9% | 0.3% | — | 73.1 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.80-3.3% | $5.50+1.1% | $1.65-7.4% | 5.1% | — | 69.5 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.70-5.8% | $5.20-4.4% | $1.68-5.7% | 5.5% | — | 64.6 |
| 7 | Betus | $3.85-2.0% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.69-5.1% | 4.2% | — | 59.9 |
| 8 | Unibet Uk | $3.80-3.3% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.70-4.5% | 4.2% | — | 56.0 |
| 9 | Fanduel | $3.70-5.8% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.69-5.1% | 4.7% | — | 55.8 |
| 10 | Grosvenor | $3.75-4.5% | $5.50+1.1% | $1.67-6.2% | 4.7% | — | 54.9 |
| 11 | Betonlineag | $3.81-3.0% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.70-4.5% | 3.6% | — | 52.2 |
| 12 | Leovegas | $3.80-3.3% | $5.50+1.1% | $1.65-7.4% | 5.1% | — | 49.5 |
| 13 | Sportsbet | $3.60-8.3% | $5.30-2.5% | $1.71-4.0% | 6.6% | — | 48.2 |
| 14 | PointsBet | $3.60-8.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.71-4.0% | 6.3% | — | 48.1 |
| 15 | TABtouch | $3.65-7.1% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-6.2% | 7.3% | — | 47.4 |
| 16 | Dabble | $3.60-8.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.72-3.4% | 6.6% | — | 45.1 |
| 17 | Skybet | $3.75-4.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-6.2% | 6.5% | — | 44.4 |
| 18 | Fanatics | $3.80-3.3% | $5.25-3.4% | $1.69-5.1% | 4.5% | — | 42.7 |
| 19 | Draftkings | $3.90-0.7% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.69-5.1% | 4.8% | — | 42.3 |
| 20 | Casumo | $3.80-3.3% | $5.50+1.1% | $1.65-7.4% | 5.1% | — | 41.8 |
| 21 | Livescorebet | $3.70-5.8% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.63-8.5% | 6.9% | — | 40.4 |
| 22 | Betfred Uk | $3.75-4.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.5% | 5.5% | — | 36.3 |
| 23 | Williamhill | $3.60-8.3% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.5% | 6.6% | — | 33.1 |
| 24 | Bet Right | $3.50-10.9% | $4.75-12.6% | $1.77-0.6% | 7.4% | — | 32.6 |
| 25 | Virginbet | $3.70-5.8% | $5.40-0.7% | $1.63-8.5% | 6.9% | — | 31.7 |
| 26 | Coral | $3.80-3.3% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.70-4.5% | 6.0% | — | 30.8 |
| 27 | Betr | $3.60-8.3% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.72-3.4% | 7.0% | — | 30.8 |
| 28 | Paddypower | $3.75-4.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.65-7.4% | 7.3% | — | 29.4 |
| 29 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.75-4.5% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.70-4.5% | 6.3% | — | 28.6 |
| 30 | TAB | $3.50-10.9% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.70-4.5% | 8.1% | — | 27.2 |
| 31 | Bovada | $3.90-0.7% | $4.90-9.9% | $1.70-4.5% | 4.9% | — | 27.2 |
| 32 | Mybookieag | $3.75-4.5% | $5.10-6.2% | $1.68-5.7% | 5.8% | — | 25.8 |
| 33 | PlayUp | $3.50-10.9% | $4.60-15.4% | $1.72-3.4% | 8.4% | — | 25.6 |
| 34 | Boylesports | $3.75-4.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-6.2% | 6.5% | — | 24.4 |
| 35 | Betway | $3.80-3.3% | $4.75-12.6% | $1.67-6.2% | 7.2% | — | 23.6 |
| 36 | Betvictor | $3.75-4.5% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-6.2% | 6.5% | — | 16.7 |
| 37 | Betmgm | $3.75-4.5% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.69-5.1% | 6.7% | — | 8.8 |
| 38 | Betfair Sb Uk | $3.25-17.3% | $4.50-17.2% | $1.62-9.0% | 14.7% | — | 3.3 |
| 39 | Williamhill Us | $3.65-7.1% | $5.00-8.0% | $1.67-6.2% | 7.3% | — | 1.5 |
| 40 | Sport888 | $3.50-10.9% | $4.80-11.7% | $1.67-6.2% | 9.3% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 40 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →