Aaron Noriega v Leonardo Baez
BOXING · Saturday 17 October, 3:00 pm
Also across our network: fixtures, tips and match previews.
Fair market
Aaron Noriega $1.09
Leonardo Baez $16.50
Draw $23.65
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Aaron Noriega | Leonardo Baez | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.03-5.4% | $23.00+39.4% | $34.00+43.8% | 4.4% | — | 70.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $1.04-4.5% | $19.00+15.1% | $19.00-19.7% | 6.7% | — | 66.0 |
| 3 | Betr | $1.01-7.3% | $13.00-21.2% | — | 6.7% | — | 56.0 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $1.04-4.5% | $19.00+15.1% | $19.00-19.7% | 6.7% | — | 24.0 |
| 5 | Picklebet Au | $1.01-7.3% | $10.00-39.4% | — | 9.0% | — | 14.0 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $1.01-7.3% | $16.00-3.1% | — | 5.3% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 17 Oct 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
More on this match across our network
How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 6 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →