Aaron Noriega v Leonardo Baez
BOXING · Saturday 17 October, 3:00 pm
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Fair market
Aaron Noriega $1.09
Leonardo Baez $16.50
Draw $23.65
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Aaron Noriega | Leonardo Baez | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.03-5.4% | $23.00+39.4% | $34.00+43.8% | 4.4% | — | 78.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $1.04-4.5% | $19.00+15.1% | $19.00-19.7% | 6.7% | — | 65.0 |
| 3 | Betr | $1.01-7.3% | $13.00-21.2% | — | 6.7% | — | 40.0 |
| 4 | TABtouch | $1.04-4.5% | $19.00+15.1% | $19.00-19.7% | 6.7% | — | 31.0 |
| 5 | Bet Right | $1.01-7.3% | $16.00-3.1% | — | 5.3% | — | 20.0 |
| 6 | Picklebet Au | $1.01-7.3% | $10.00-39.4% | — | 9.0% | — | 6.0 |
Scores computed 17 Oct 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 6 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →