Spain v Austria
soccer_world_cup · Thursday 2 July, 7:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $5.56
Spain $1.34
Austria $13.26
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Spain | Austria | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $5.60+0.7% | $1.29-3.9% | $16.50+24.5% | 1.4% | — | 86.4 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $5.80+4.3% | $1.30-3.2% | $15.50+16.9% | 0.6% | — | 84.2 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $5.80+4.3% | $1.30-3.2% | $15.50+16.9% | 0.6% | — | 81.7 |
| 4 | Betfair Ex Uk | $5.80+4.3% | $1.30-3.2% | $15.50+16.9% | 0.6% | — | 81.4 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $5.30-4.7% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 4.7% | — | 71.9 |
| 6 | Fanduel | $5.50-1.1% | $1.26-6.2% | $14.00+5.6% | 4.7% | — | 71.1 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $5.50-1.1% | $1.25-6.9% | $14.00+5.6% | 5.3% | — | 64.2 |
| 8 | Betonlineag | $5.40-2.9% | $1.28-4.7% | $14.00+5.6% | 3.8% | — | 62.8 |
| 9 | Grosvenor | $5.30-4.7% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 4.7% | — | 62.2 |
| 10 | Unibet | $5.30-4.7% | $1.27-5.4% | $13.00-1.9% | 5.3% | — | 61.9 |
| 11 | Ladbrokes Uk | $5.50-1.1% | $1.28-4.7% | $12.00-9.5% | 4.6% | — | 56.1 |
| 12 | Leovegas | $5.30-4.7% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 4.7% | — | 54.4 |
| 13 | Coral | $5.50-1.1% | $1.28-4.7% | $12.00-9.5% | 4.6% | — | 52.8 |
| 14 | Casumo | $5.30-4.7% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 4.7% | — | 50.0 |
| 15 | Betfred Uk | $5.00-10.1% | $1.29-3.9% | $13.00-1.9% | 5.2% | — | 45.6 |
| 16 | PointsBet | $5.50-1.1% | $1.27-5.4% | $11.50-13.2% | 5.6% | — | 42.5 |
| 17 | Betr | $5.00-10.1% | $1.27-5.4% | $13.00-1.9% | 6.4% | — | 40.0 |
| 18 | Paddypower | $5.00-10.1% | $1.25-6.9% | $13.00-1.9% | 7.7% | — | 37.8 |
| 19 | Betvictor | $5.25-5.6% | $1.25-6.9% | $13.00-1.9% | 6.7% | — | 37.8 |
| 20 | Unibet Uk | $5.25-5.6% | $1.27-5.4% | $12.00-9.5% | 6.1% | — | 36.1 |
| 21 | TAB | $4.75-14.6% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 6.9% | — | 33.9 |
| 22 | Fanatics | $5.50-1.1% | $1.27-5.4% | $11.50-13.2% | 5.6% | — | 32.8 |
| 23 | Dabble | $4.75-14.6% | $1.28-4.7% | $13.00-1.9% | 6.9% | — | 30.0 |
| 24 | Betmgm | $5.50-1.1% | $1.27-5.4% | $11.50-13.2% | 5.6% | — | 28.9 |
| 25 | Skybet | $5.25-5.6% | $1.25-6.9% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.4% | — | 28.1 |
| 26 | Draftkings | $5.50-1.1% | $1.29-3.9% | $11.00-17.0% | 4.8% | — | 27.8 |
| 27 | Mybookieag | $5.30-4.7% | $1.27-5.4% | $11.75-11.4% | 6.1% | — | 20.0 |
| 28 | Livescorebet | $5.10-8.3% | $1.26-6.2% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.3% | — | 20.0 |
| 29 | Bovada | $5.40-2.9% | $1.29-3.9% | $11.00-17.0% | 5.1% | — | 17.8 |
| 30 | Williamhill | $5.00-10.1% | $1.25-6.9% | $12.00-9.5% | 8.3% | — | 15.3 |
| 31 | TABtouch | $5.10-8.3% | $1.26-6.2% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.3% | — | 13.1 |
| 32 | Bet Right | $5.00-10.1% | $1.26-6.2% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.7% | — | 11.7 |
| 33 | PlayUp | $4.85-12.8% | $1.28-4.7% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.1% | — | 11.1 |
| 34 | Virginbet | $5.10-8.3% | $1.26-6.2% | $12.00-9.5% | 7.3% | — | 9.7 |
| 35 | Betway | $5.25-5.6% | $1.25-6.9% | $9.00-32.1% | 10.2% | — | 4.7 |
| 36 | Sport888 | $5.00-10.1% | $1.25-6.9% | $11.00-17.0% | 9.1% | — | 0.0 |
| 37 | Boylesports | $5.00-10.1% | $1.25-6.9% | $12.00-9.5% | 8.3% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 37 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →