Spain v Austria
WORLDCUP · Thursday 2 July, 7:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $5.55
Spain $1.35
Austria $12.66
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Spain | Austria | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $5.60+1.0% | $1.33-1.5% | $13.00+2.7% | 0.7% | — | 81.9 |
| 2 | Smarkets | $5.60+1.0% | $1.29-4.5% | $16.50+30.4% | 1.4% | — | 72.5 |
| 3 | Matchbook | $5.80+4.6% | $1.30-3.7% | $15.50+22.5% | 0.6% | — | 65.8 |
| 4 | Betrivers | $5.30-4.4% | $1.28-5.2% | $13.00+2.7% | 4.7% | — | 65.6 |
| 5 | Betfair Ex Uk | $5.80+4.6% | $1.30-3.7% | $15.50+22.5% | 0.6% | — | 63.1 |
| 6 | Unibet | $5.30-4.4% | $1.29-4.5% | $11.00-13.1% | 5.5% | — | 60.6 |
| 7 | PointsBet | $5.50-0.8% | $1.29-4.5% | $11.00-13.1% | 4.8% | — | 58.1 |
| 8 | Fanduel | $5.50-0.8% | $1.26-6.7% | $14.00+10.6% | 4.7% | — | 56.1 |
| 9 | TAB | $4.75-14.3% | $1.30-3.7% | $11.00-13.1% | 7.1% | — | 54.2 |
| 10 | Sportsbet | $5.30-4.4% | $1.28-5.2% | $11.00-13.1% | 6.1% | — | 51.1 |
| 11 | TABtouch | $5.20-6.2% | $1.28-5.2% | $10.50-17.0% | 6.9% | — | 49.4 |
| 12 | Bet Right | $4.90-11.6% | $1.28-5.2% | $11.00-13.1% | 7.6% | — | 48.6 |
| 13 | Betr | $4.90-11.6% | $1.28-5.2% | $11.50-9.1% | 7.2% | — | 48.1 |
| 14 | PlayUp | $4.75-14.3% | $1.30-3.7% | $10.00-21.0% | 8.0% | — | 47.2 |
| 15 | Grosvenor | $5.30-4.4% | $1.28-5.2% | $13.00+2.7% | 4.7% | — | 46.1 |
| 16 | Skybet | $5.25-5.3% | $1.25-7.4% | $12.00-5.2% | 7.4% | — | 44.7 |
| 17 | Ladbrokes Uk | $5.50-0.8% | $1.28-5.2% | $12.00-5.2% | 4.6% | — | 44.4 |
| 18 | Coral | $5.50-0.8% | $1.28-5.2% | $12.00-5.2% | 4.6% | — | 40.0 |
| 19 | Paddypower | $5.00-9.8% | $1.25-7.4% | $13.00+2.7% | 7.7% | — | 40.0 |
| 20 | Williamhill | $5.00-9.8% | $1.25-7.4% | $12.00-5.2% | 8.3% | — | 39.2 |
| 21 | Unibet Uk | $5.25-5.3% | $1.27-5.9% | $12.00-5.2% | 6.1% | — | 38.3 |
| 22 | Dabble | $4.75-14.3% | $1.30-3.7% | $10.00-21.0% | 8.0% | — | 38.3 |
| 23 | Leovegas | $5.30-4.4% | $1.28-5.2% | $13.00+2.7% | 4.7% | — | 36.4 |
| 24 | Betonlineag | $5.40-2.6% | $1.28-5.2% | $14.00+10.6% | 3.8% | — | 35.6 |
| 25 | Betfred Uk | $5.00-9.8% | $1.29-4.5% | $13.00+2.7% | 5.2% | — | 35.0 |
| 26 | Livescorebet | $5.10-8.0% | $1.26-6.7% | $12.00-5.2% | 7.3% | — | 31.1 |
| 27 | Draftkings | $5.50-0.8% | $1.29-4.5% | $11.00-13.1% | 4.8% | — | 27.2 |
| 28 | Fanatics | $5.50-0.8% | $1.27-5.9% | $11.50-9.1% | 5.6% | — | 26.1 |
| 29 | Casumo | $5.30-4.4% | $1.28-5.2% | $13.00+2.7% | 4.7% | — | 25.8 |
| 30 | Betway | $5.25-5.3% | $1.25-7.4% | $9.00-28.9% | 10.2% | — | 23.3 |
| 31 | Betmgm | $5.50-0.8% | $1.27-5.9% | $11.50-9.1% | 5.6% | — | 20.0 |
| 32 | Virginbet | $5.10-8.0% | $1.26-6.7% | $12.00-5.2% | 7.3% | — | 20.0 |
| 33 | Betvictor | $5.25-5.3% | $1.25-7.4% | $13.00+2.7% | 6.7% | — | 17.2 |
| 34 | Mybookieag | $5.30-4.4% | $1.27-5.9% | $11.75-7.2% | 6.1% | — | 12.8 |
| 35 | Boylesports | $5.00-9.8% | $1.25-7.4% | $12.00-5.2% | 8.3% | — | 9.7 |
| 36 | Bovada | $5.40-2.6% | $1.29-4.5% | $11.00-13.1% | 5.1% | — | 6.1 |
| 37 | Sport888 | $5.00-9.8% | $1.25-7.4% | $11.00-13.1% | 9.1% | — | 0.3 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 37 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →