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Mexico v Ecuador

soccer_world_cup · Wednesday 1 July, 1:00 am

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Fair market Mexico $2.34 Ecuador $3.97 Draw $3.12 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie MexicoEcuadorDraw MarginPromo EVScore · Value hunter
1 Matchbook $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 86.1
2 Betfair Ex Uk $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 83.4
3 Smarkets $2.30-1.6% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 1.3% 83.4
4 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 80.5
5 Sportsbet $2.25-3.7% $3.90-1.8% $2.90-7.1% 4.6% 70.5
6 Draftkings $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.05-2.3% 4.6% 67.4
7 Betonlineag $2.33-0.3% $3.57-10.1% $3.07-1.7% 3.5% 66.8
8 PointsBet $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.00-3.9% 5.1% 65.3
9 Unibet $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 63.9
10 Betrivers $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 62.9
11 Bovada $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $3.05-2.3% 4.9% 55.8
12 Fanatics $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.00-3.9% 5.1% 55.8
13 Betfred Uk $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $3.10-0.7% 5.4% 54.7
14 Grosvenor $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 53.7
15 Fanduel $2.25-3.7% $3.80-4.3% $2.90-7.1% 5.2% 53.7
16 Leovegas $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 46.3
17 Coral $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.10-0.7% 5.5% 44.2
18 Unibet Uk $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $3.00-3.9% 6.5% 43.2
19 Casumo $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 40.5
20 Betr $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $3.00-3.9% 6.9% 34.7
21 Ladbrokes Uk $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 34.2
22 Mybookieag $2.17-7.1% $3.70-6.8% $3.02-3.3% 6.2% 33.7
23 Dabble $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 33.4
24 Skybet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.88-7.8% 6.8% 32.9
25 Paddypower $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.88-7.8% 6.8% 28.9
26 Betvictor $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $3.00-3.9% 6.9% 24.2
27 Betmgm $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 22.1
28 Livescorebet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 21.6
29 Williamhill Us $2.16-7.6% $3.70-6.8% $2.98-4.6% 6.9% 21.1
30 Bet Right $2.15-8.0% $3.65-8.1% $3.00-3.9% 7.2% 21.1
31 Williamhill $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $2.90-7.1% 8.0% 16.6
32 TABtouch $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 14.5
33 PlayUp $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 11.6
34 Virginbet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 11.3
35 TAB $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 10.8
36 Betway $2.15-8.0% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 8.8% 9.2
37 Boylesports $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 6.8
38 Sport888 $2.15-8.0% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 8.8% 0.0
39 Betfair Sb Uk $2.10-10.1% $3.60-9.3% $2.50-19.9% 15.4% 0.0

Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 39 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →