Mexico v Ecuador
WORLDCUP · Wednesday 1 July, 1:00 am
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Fair market
Mexico $2.33
Ecuador $4.01
Draw $3.10
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Mexico | Ecuador | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.30-1.5% | $4.20+4.7% | $3.00-3.3% | 0.6% | — | 86.4 |
| 2 | Smarkets | $2.30-1.5% | $4.00-0.3% | $3.05-1.7% | 1.3% | — | 75.9 |
| 3 | Matchbook | $2.32-0.6% | $4.00-0.3% | $3.05-1.7% | 0.9% | — | 74.9 |
| 4 | Betfair Ex Uk | $2.32-0.6% | $4.00-0.3% | $3.05-1.7% | 0.9% | — | 72.2 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $2.20-5.7% | $4.00-0.3% | $2.85-8.2% | 5.5% | — | 69.7 |
| 6 | Unibet | $2.18-6.6% | $4.00-0.3% | $2.85-8.2% | 6.0% | — | 64.2 |
| 7 | Betrivers | $2.23-4.5% | $3.85-4.0% | $2.90-6.5% | 5.3% | — | 63.0 |
| 8 | Draftkings | $2.20-5.7% | $3.80-5.3% | $3.05-1.7% | 4.6% | — | 54.7 |
| 9 | PointsBet | $2.20-5.7% | $3.80-5.3% | $2.90-6.5% | 6.3% | — | 54.5 |
| 10 | Fanduel | $2.25-3.6% | $3.80-5.3% | $2.90-6.5% | 5.2% | — | 51.2 |
| 11 | Betonlineag | $2.33-0.2% | $3.57-11.0% | $3.07-1.1% | 3.5% | — | 51.1 |
| 12 | Dabble | $2.20-5.7% | $3.85-4.0% | $2.85-8.2% | 6.5% | — | 50.3 |
| 13 | Grosvenor | $2.23-4.5% | $3.85-4.0% | $2.90-6.5% | 5.3% | — | 49.9 |
| 14 | Betfred Uk | $2.15-7.9% | $3.75-6.5% | $3.10-0.1% | 5.4% | — | 48.9 |
| 15 | TABtouch | $2.16-7.5% | $3.95-1.5% | $2.80-9.8% | 7.3% | — | 47.6 |
| 16 | Fanatics | $2.20-5.7% | $3.80-5.3% | $3.00-3.3% | 5.1% | — | 47.2 |
| 17 | Leovegas | $2.23-4.5% | $3.85-4.0% | $2.90-6.5% | 5.3% | — | 42.0 |
| 18 | Bovada | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $3.05-1.7% | 4.9% | — | 41.6 |
| 19 | Coral | $2.20-5.7% | $3.60-10.3% | $3.10-0.1% | 5.5% | — | 41.3 |
| 20 | Unibet Uk | $2.15-7.9% | $3.75-6.5% | $3.00-3.3% | 6.5% | — | 40.0 |
| 21 | TAB | $2.20-5.7% | $3.80-5.3% | $2.80-9.8% | 7.5% | — | 38.4 |
| 22 | Bet Right | $2.15-7.9% | $3.70-7.8% | $2.95-4.9% | 7.4% | — | 37.6 |
| 23 | Skybet | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.88-7.2% | 6.8% | — | 36.1 |
| 24 | Casumo | $2.23-4.5% | $3.85-4.0% | $2.90-6.5% | 5.3% | — | 34.1 |
| 25 | Betr | $2.15-7.9% | $3.70-7.8% | $2.95-4.9% | 7.4% | — | 33.9 |
| 26 | PlayUp | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.80-9.8% | 7.8% | — | 32.4 |
| 27 | Ladbrokes Uk | $2.20-5.7% | $3.60-10.3% | $3.00-3.3% | 6.6% | — | 31.2 |
| 28 | Paddypower | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.88-7.2% | 6.8% | — | 30.0 |
| 29 | Mybookieag | $2.17-7.0% | $3.70-7.8% | $3.02-2.7% | 6.2% | — | 26.3 |
| 30 | Livescorebet | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.85-8.2% | 7.2% | — | 25.1 |
| 31 | Williamhill | $2.15-7.9% | $3.70-7.8% | $2.90-6.5% | 8.0% | — | 22.1 |
| 32 | Betmgm | $2.20-5.7% | $3.60-10.3% | $3.00-3.3% | 6.6% | — | 18.0 |
| 33 | Betway | $2.15-7.9% | $3.60-10.3% | $2.90-6.5% | 8.8% | — | 16.3 |
| 34 | Betvictor | $2.15-7.9% | $3.70-7.8% | $3.00-3.3% | 6.9% | — | 16.2 |
| 35 | Virginbet | $2.20-5.7% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.85-8.2% | 7.2% | — | 16.2 |
| 36 | Williamhill Us | $2.16-7.5% | $3.70-7.8% | $2.98-4.0% | 6.9% | — | 12.5 |
| 37 | Boylesports | $2.15-7.9% | $3.75-6.5% | $2.90-6.5% | 7.7% | — | 6.3 |
| 38 | Betfair Sb Uk | $2.10-10.0% | $3.60-10.3% | $2.50-19.4% | 15.4% | — | 3.7 |
| 39 | Sport888 | $2.15-7.9% | $3.60-10.3% | $2.90-6.5% | 8.8% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 39 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →