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Mexico v Ecuador

soccer_world_cup · Wednesday 1 July, 1:00 am

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Fair market Mexico $2.34 Ecuador $3.97 Draw $3.12 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie MexicoEcuadorDraw MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Smarkets $2.30-1.6% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 1.3% 84.1
2 Matchbook $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 83.4
3 Betfair Ex Uk $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 80.8
4 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $2.32-0.7% $4.00+0.7% $3.05-2.3% 0.9% 78.2
5 Unibet $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 70.1
6 Betrivers $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 68.0
7 Sportsbet $2.25-3.7% $3.90-1.8% $2.90-7.1% 4.6% 61.1
8 Draftkings $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.05-2.3% 4.6% 58.9
9 Fanduel $2.25-3.7% $3.80-4.3% $2.90-7.1% 5.2% 56.6
10 PointsBet $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.00-3.9% 5.1% 55.3
11 Betonlineag $2.33-0.3% $3.57-10.1% $3.07-1.7% 3.5% 52.2
12 Grosvenor $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 52.0
13 Betfred Uk $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $3.10-0.7% 5.4% 50.8
14 Unibet Uk $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $3.00-3.9% 6.5% 47.4
15 Fanatics $2.20-5.9% $3.80-4.3% $3.00-3.9% 5.1% 45.3
16 Coral $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.10-0.7% 5.5% 44.2
17 Skybet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.88-7.8% 6.8% 44.2
18 Bovada $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $3.05-2.3% 4.9% 40.0
19 Leovegas $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 38.8
20 Ladbrokes Uk $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 38.0
21 Paddypower $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.88-7.8% 6.8% 37.4
22 Betr $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $3.00-3.9% 6.9% 36.4
23 Williamhill $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $2.90-7.1% 8.0% 32.6
24 Dabble $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 32.5
25 Casumo $2.23-4.6% $3.85-3.0% $2.90-7.1% 5.3% 30.5
26 Livescorebet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 29.9
27 Bet Right $2.15-8.0% $3.65-8.1% $3.00-3.9% 7.2% 28.8
28 Mybookieag $2.17-7.1% $3.70-6.8% $3.02-3.3% 6.2% 24.7
29 Betway $2.15-8.0% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 8.8% 24.5
30 PlayUp $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 23.0
31 Betmgm $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $3.00-3.9% 6.6% 18.0
32 TABtouch $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 18.0
33 TAB $2.20-5.9% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 17.5
34 Betvictor $2.15-8.0% $3.70-6.8% $3.00-3.9% 6.9% 17.0
35 Virginbet $2.20-5.9% $3.75-5.6% $2.85-8.7% 7.2% 13.8
36 Williamhill Us $2.16-7.6% $3.70-6.8% $2.98-4.6% 6.9% 13.3
37 Boylesports $2.15-8.0% $3.75-5.6% $2.90-7.1% 7.7% 7.9
38 Betfair Sb Uk $2.10-10.1% $3.60-9.3% $2.50-19.9% 15.4% 7.9
39 Sport888 $2.15-8.0% $3.60-9.3% $2.90-7.1% 8.8% 0.0

Scores computed 28 Jun 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 39 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →