Essendon Bombers v St Kilda Saints
afl · Sunday 5 July, 5:15 am
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Fair market
Essendon Bombers $4.36
St Kilda Saints $1.30
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Essendon Bombers | St Kilda Saints | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair Ex Uk | $4.30-1.4% | $1.27-2.1% | 2.0% | — | 79.3 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.30-1.4% | $1.27-2.1% | 2.0% | — | 72.1 |
| 3 | TAB | $4.50+3.2% | $1.20-7.5% | 5.6% | — | 65.7 |
| 4 | Sportsbet | $4.30-1.4% | $1.22-6.0% | 5.2% | — | 60.0 |
| 5 | Neds | $4.25-2.5% | $1.22-6.0% | 5.5% | — | 52.9 |
| 6 | PlayUp | $4.40+0.9% | $1.20-7.5% | 6.1% | — | 48.6 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $4.25-2.5% | $1.22-6.0% | 5.5% | — | 47.9 |
| 8 | Casumo | $4.00-8.3% | $1.25-3.7% | 5.0% | — | 40.0 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $4.00-8.3% | $1.25-3.7% | 5.0% | — | 32.1 |
| 10 | PointsBet | $4.20-3.7% | $1.22-6.0% | 5.8% | — | 28.6 |
| 11 | Betr | $4.15-4.8% | $1.23-5.2% | 5.4% | — | 27.1 |
| 12 | Draftkings | $4.30-1.4% | $1.20-7.5% | 6.6% | — | 22.1 |
| 13 | Grosvenor | $4.00-8.3% | $1.25-3.7% | 5.0% | — | 20.7 |
| 14 | Unibet | $3.80-12.8% | $1.25-3.7% | 6.3% | — | 3.6 |
| 15 | Paddypower | $3.75-14.0% | $1.25-3.7% | 6.7% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 15 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →