Essendon Bombers v St Kilda Saints
AFL · Sunday 5 July, 5:15 am
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Fair market
St Kilda Saints $1.28
Essendon Bombers $4.56
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | St Kilda Saints | Essendon Bombers | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.21-5.6% | $4.45-2.3% | 5.1% | +9.9% Members | 72.5 |
| 2 | Neds | $1.20-6.3% | $4.60+1.0% | 5.1% | — | 69.4 |
| 3 | TAB | $1.20-6.3% | $4.50-1.2% | 5.6% | +9.9% Members | 63.8 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.22-4.8% | $4.50-1.2% | 4.2% | — | 56.9 |
| 5 | PlayUp | $1.20-6.3% | $4.40-3.4% | 6.1% | — | 55.0 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $1.20-6.3% | $4.60+1.0% | 5.1% | — | 54.4 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $1.20-6.3% | $4.60+1.0% | 5.1% | — | 46.9 |
| 8 | Unibet | $1.22-4.8% | $4.10-10.0% | 6.4% | — | 44.4 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $1.22-4.8% | $4.30-5.6% | 5.2% | — | 42.5 |
| 10 | Dabble | $1.20-6.3% | $4.40-3.4% | 6.1% | — | 40.6 |
| 11 | Betr | $1.20-6.3% | $4.50-1.2% | 5.6% | — | 39.4 |
| 12 | PointsBet | $1.18-7.9% | $4.50-1.2% | 7.0% | — | 36.9 |
| 13 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.27-0.9% | $4.30-5.6% | 2.0% | — | 35.6 |
| 14 | Casumo | $1.25-2.4% | $4.00-12.2% | 5.0% | — | 19.4 |
| 15 | Grosvenor | $1.25-2.4% | $4.00-12.2% | 5.0% | — | 5.6 |
| 16 | Draftkings | $1.20-6.3% | $4.30-5.6% | 6.6% | — | 0.0 |
| 17 | Paddypower | $1.25-2.4% | $3.75-17.7% | 6.7% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 17 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →