Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats
AFL · Thursday 30 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Geelong Cats $2.01
Collingwood Magpies $1.99
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Geelong Cats | Collingwood Magpies | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.93-4.1% | $1.91-3.9% | 4.2% | +15.4% ⓘ | 80.0 |
| 2 | TAB | $1.90-5.6% | $1.90-4.4% | 5.3% | +10.5% ⓘ | 75.0 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $1.90-5.6% | $1.90-4.4% | 5.3% | — | 56.7 |
| 4 | Neds | $1.90-5.6% | $1.90-4.4% | 5.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 5 | Bet Right | $1.90-5.6% | $1.90-4.4% | 5.3% | — | 16.7 |
| 6 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.87-7.1% | $1.78-10.4% | 9.7% | — | 16.7 |
| 7 | Betr | $1.87-7.1% | $1.87-5.9% | 7.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 24 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →