Collingwood Magpies v Geelong Cats
AFL · Thursday 30 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Geelong Cats $1.82
Collingwood Magpies $2.22
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Geelong Cats | Collingwood Magpies | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.76-3.2% | $2.18-1.9% | 2.7% | — | 80.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.73-4.9% | $2.11-5.0% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 67.5 |
| 3 | Neds | $1.73-4.9% | $2.10-5.5% | 5.4% | — | 32.5 |
| 4 | TAB | $1.72-5.4% | $2.10-5.5% | 5.8% | +9.9% Members | 10.0 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.73-4.9% | $2.10-5.5% | 5.4% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 23 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 5 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →