Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers
AFL · Saturday 25 July, 6:15 am
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Fair market
Hawthorn Hawks $1.09
Essendon Bombers $11.99
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Hawthorn Hawks | Essendon Bombers | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.06-2.8% | $15.00+25.2% | 1.0% | — | 74.0 |
| 2 | PointsBet | $1.04-4.7% | $13.00+8.5% | 3.8% | — | 70.0 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $1.03-5.6% | $12.00+0.1% | 5.4% | — | 63.5 |
| 4 | Bet Right | $1.04-4.7% | $11.00-8.2% | 5.2% | — | 54.5 |
| 5 | TAB | $1.04-4.7% | $11.00-8.2% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 50.5 |
| 6 | Sportsbet | $1.04-4.7% | $11.00-8.2% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 41.5 |
| 7 | Neds | $1.03-5.6% | $12.00+0.1% | 5.4% | — | 32.5 |
| 8 | PlayUp | $1.02-6.5% | $12.00+0.1% | 6.4% | — | 32.0 |
| 9 | Betr | $1.04-4.7% | $9.25-22.8% | 7.0% | — | 10.0 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $1.04-4.7% | $10.00-16.6% | 6.2% | — | 7.5 |
| 11 | Unibet | $1.04-4.7% | $9.50-20.7% | 6.7% | — | 4.0 |
Scores computed 20 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →