Hawthorn Hawks v Essendon Bombers
AFL · Saturday 25 July, 6:15 am
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Fair market
Hawthorn Hawks $1.08
Essendon Bombers $13.02
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Hawthorn Hawks | Essendon Bombers | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.06-2.1% | $15.00+15.2% | 1.0% | — | 74.1 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.03-4.9% | $12.50-4.0% | 5.1% | +15.4% ⓘ | 66.8 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $1.03-4.9% | $15.00+15.2% | 3.8% | — | 66.8 |
| 4 | Neds | $1.03-4.9% | $12.00-7.8% | 5.4% | — | 45.0 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.03-4.9% | $12.00-7.8% | 5.4% | — | 38.6 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $1.03-4.9% | $13.00-0.1% | 4.8% | — | 38.6 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $1.03-4.9% | $12.50-4.0% | 5.1% | — | 37.7 |
| 8 | Dabble | $1.04-4.0% | $12.00-7.8% | 4.5% | — | 35.0 |
| 9 | TAB | $1.03-4.9% | $12.00-7.8% | 5.4% | +10.5% ⓘ | 31.4 |
| 10 | Betr | $1.04-4.0% | $11.00-15.5% | 5.2% | — | 30.9 |
| 11 | Unibet | $1.03-4.9% | $10.50-19.3% | 6.6% | — | 8.2 |
| 12 | PlayUp | $1.02-5.8% | $12.00-7.8% | 6.4% | — | 6.8 |
Scores computed 20 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →