Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats
AFL · Friday 24 July, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Melbourne Demons $1.91
Geelong Cats $2.10
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Melbourne Demons | Geelong Cats | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.83-4.2% | $2.01-4.2% | 4.4% | +9.9% Members | 80.9 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.87-2.2% | $2.12+1.1% | 0.6% | — | 69.1 |
| 3 | Neds | $1.82-4.8% | $2.00-4.7% | 4.9% | — | 62.7 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $1.82-4.8% | $2.00-4.7% | 4.9% | — | 56.4 |
| 5 | Betr | $1.85-3.2% | $1.95-7.0% | 5.3% | — | 51.8 |
| 6 | TAB | $1.80-5.8% | $2.00-4.7% | 5.6% | +9.9% Members | 39.1 |
| 7 | Dabble | $1.85-3.2% | $1.98-5.6% | 4.6% | — | 32.7 |
| 8 | PointsBet | $1.72-10.0% | $2.10+0.1% | 5.8% | — | 30.0 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $1.85-3.2% | $1.95-7.0% | 5.3% | — | 18.2 |
| 10 | Unibet | $1.83-4.2% | $1.94-7.5% | 6.2% | — | 17.3 |
| 11 | Bet Right | $1.82-4.8% | $2.00-4.7% | 4.9% | — | 12.7 |
| 12 | PlayUp | $1.85-3.2% | $1.95-7.0% | 5.3% | — | 9.1 |
Scores computed 20 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →