Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats
AFL · Friday 24 July, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Melbourne Demons $1.91
Geelong Cats $2.09
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Melbourne Demons | Geelong Cats | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.83-4.4% | $2.01-4.0% | 4.4% | +15.4% ⓘ | 85.5 |
| 2 | Ladbrokes | $1.82-4.9% | $2.00-4.5% | 4.9% | — | 68.2 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.87-2.3% | $2.12+1.3% | 0.6% | — | 68.2 |
| 4 | TAB | $1.80-6.0% | $2.00-4.5% | 5.6% | +10.5% ⓘ | 47.3 |
| 5 | Dabble | $1.85-3.4% | $1.98-5.4% | 4.6% | — | 45.5 |
| 6 | TABtouch | $1.85-3.4% | $1.95-6.9% | 5.3% | — | 45.5 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $1.81-5.5% | $2.00-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 32.7 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $1.82-4.9% | $2.00-4.5% | 4.9% | — | 25.5 |
| 9 | Unibet | $1.83-4.4% | $1.94-7.3% | 6.2% | — | 25.5 |
| 10 | Neds | $1.82-4.9% | $2.00-4.5% | 4.9% | — | 21.8 |
| 11 | PointsBet | $1.80-6.0% | $2.00-4.5% | 5.6% | — | 13.6 |
| 12 | Betr | $1.85-3.4% | $1.95-6.9% | 5.3% | — | 0.9 |
Scores computed 21 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →