Melbourne Demons v Geelong Cats
AFL · Friday 24 July, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Melbourne Demons $1.96
Geelong Cats $2.04
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Melbourne Demons | Geelong Cats | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.88-3.9% | $1.96-4.1% | 4.2% | +9.9% Members | 78.6 |
| 2 | Bet Right | $1.82-7.0% | $2.00-2.2% | 4.9% | — | 73.2 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $1.90-2.9% | $1.90-7.1% | 5.3% | — | 68.6 |
| 4 | PointsBet | $1.90-2.9% | $1.90-7.1% | 5.3% | — | 59.5 |
| 5 | TAB | $1.85-5.5% | $1.95-4.6% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 48.6 |
| 6 | Betr | $1.85-5.5% | $1.95-4.6% | 5.3% | — | 42.3 |
| 7 | Neds | $1.90-2.9% | $1.90-7.1% | 5.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 8 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.88-3.9% | $2.00-2.2% | 3.2% | — | 34.5 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $1.85-5.5% | $1.95-4.6% | 5.3% | — | 24.1 |
| 10 | Dabble | $1.85-5.5% | $1.95-4.6% | 5.3% | — | 9.5 |
| 11 | TABtouch | $1.85-5.5% | $1.94-5.1% | 5.6% | — | 5.9 |
| 12 | Unibet | $1.83-6.5% | $1.93-5.6% | 6.5% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 20 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →