Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies
AFL · Thursday 23 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Collingwood Magpies $2.97
Adelaide Crows $1.51
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Collingwood Magpies | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $2.86-3.8% | $1.43-5.1% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 77.3 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.20+7.6% | $1.44-4.4% | 0.7% | — | 69.1 |
| 3 | TAB | $2.85-4.2% | $1.43-5.1% | 5.0% | +9.9% Members | 63.6 |
| 4 | Neds | $2.80-5.9% | $1.44-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 59.1 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $2.80-5.9% | $1.44-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 52.7 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $2.85-4.2% | $1.44-4.4% | 4.5% | — | 51.8 |
| 7 | Betr | $2.75-7.5% | $1.45-3.8% | 5.3% | — | 47.3 |
| 8 | Unibet | $2.65-10.9% | $1.45-3.8% | 6.7% | — | 20.9 |
| 9 | Dabble | $2.80-5.9% | $1.44-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 18.2 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $2.80-5.9% | $1.42-5.7% | 6.1% | — | 8.2 |
| 11 | TABtouch | $2.70-9.2% | $1.42-5.7% | 7.5% | — | 6.4 |
| 12 | Bet Right | $2.80-5.9% | $1.44-4.4% | 5.2% | — | 5.5 |
Scores computed 20 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →