Adelaide Crows v Collingwood Magpies
AFL · Thursday 23 July, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Collingwood Magpies $2.97
Adelaide Crows $1.51
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Collingwood Magpies | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 83.6 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.25+9.4% | $1.43-5.1% | 0.7% | — | 77.3 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 71.8 |
| 4 | TAB | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | +9.9% Members | 65.5 |
| 5 | PlayUp | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 43.6 |
| 6 | Dabble | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 38.2 |
| 7 | Bet Right | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 23.6 |
| 8 | Neds | $2.80-5.7% | $1.44-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 20.0 |
| 9 | Unibet | $2.65-10.8% | $1.45-3.8% | 6.7% | — | 18.2 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $2.70-9.1% | $1.42-5.8% | 7.5% | — | 16.4 |
| 11 | PointsBet | $2.80-5.7% | $1.42-5.8% | 6.1% | — | 15.5 |
| 12 | Betr | $2.75-7.4% | $1.45-3.8% | 5.3% | — | 6.4 |
Scores computed 21 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 12 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →