France v England
WORLDCUP · Saturday 18 July, 9:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.84
France $2.11
England $3.77
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | France | England | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Unibet | $3.60-6.3% | $1.96-7.0% | $3.70-1.9% | 5.8% | — | 71.1 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.85+0.2% | $2.06-2.2% | $3.85+2.1% | 0.5% | — | 56.7 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $3.60-6.3% | $1.99-5.6% | $3.70-1.9% | 5.1% | — | 56.7 |
| 4 | Dabble | $3.60-6.3% | $2.02-4.1% | $3.40-9.8% | 6.7% | — | 45.6 |
| 5 | Betr | $3.70-3.7% | $2.00-5.1% | $3.40-9.8% | 6.4% | — | 37.8 |
| 6 | PlayUp | $3.50-8.9% | $2.00-5.1% | $3.40-9.8% | 8.0% | — | 37.8 |
| 7 | Bet Right | $3.65-5.0% | $2.00-5.1% | $3.30-12.5% | 7.7% | — | 30.0 |
| 8 | TAB | $3.65-5.0% | $2.00-5.1% | $3.60-4.5% | 5.2% | — | 28.9 |
| 9 | PointsBet | $3.60-6.3% | $1.95-7.5% | $3.60-4.5% | 6.8% | — | 22.2 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $3.55-7.6% | $1.93-8.4% | $3.65-3.2% | 7.4% | — | 13.3 |
Scores computed 16 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →