North Melbourne Kangaroos v Melbourne Demons
AFL · Saturday 18 July, 6:15 am
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Fair market
North Melbourne Kangaroos $2.85
Melbourne Demons $1.54
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | North Melbourne Kangaroos | Melbourne Demons | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $2.78-2.5% | $1.45-5.9% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 77.5 |
| 2 | TAB | $2.75-3.5% | $1.45-5.9% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 66.3 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $2.75-3.5% | $1.44-6.5% | 5.8% | — | 55.0 |
| 4 | PointsBet | $2.75-3.5% | $1.44-6.5% | 5.8% | — | 42.5 |
| 5 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.44-14.4% | $1.48-3.9% | 8.6% | — | 40.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $2.75-3.5% | $1.44-6.5% | 5.8% | — | 30.0 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $2.80-1.8% | $1.43-7.2% | 5.6% | — | 26.3 |
| 8 | Betr | $2.75-3.5% | $1.43-7.2% | 6.3% | — | 17.5 |
| 9 | Unibet | $2.70-5.3% | $1.44-6.5% | 6.5% | — | 5.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 9 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →