Sydney Swans v Adelaide Crows
AFL · Friday 17 July, 9:40 am
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Fair market
Sydney Swans $1.61
Adelaide Crows $2.64
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Sydney Swans | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAB | $1.52-5.7% | $2.55-3.3% | 5.0% | +9.9% Members | 76.7 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.52-5.7% | $2.52-4.4% | 5.5% | +9.9% Members | 70.0 |
| 3 | Ladbrokes | $1.52-5.7% | $2.50-5.2% | 5.8% | — | 58.9 |
| 4 | PointsBet | $1.52-5.7% | $2.50-5.2% | 5.8% | — | 47.8 |
| 5 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.49-7.5% | $2.38-9.7% | 9.1% | — | 41.1 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.52-5.7% | $2.50-5.2% | 5.8% | — | 36.7 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $1.51-6.3% | $2.55-3.3% | 5.4% | — | 34.4 |
| 8 | Betr | $1.51-6.3% | $2.50-5.2% | 6.2% | — | 23.3 |
| 9 | Unibet | $1.52-5.7% | $2.48-5.9% | 6.1% | — | 15.6 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $1.53-5.0% | $2.45-7.1% | 6.2% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 12 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →