France v Spain
WORLDCUP · Tuesday 14 July, 7:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $3.47
Spain $3.33
France $2.43
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Spain | France | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PointsBet | $3.20-7.8% | $3.20-4.0% | $2.30-5.3% | 6.0% | — | 68.9 |
| 2 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.35-3.5% | $3.40+2.0% | $2.40-1.2% | 0.9% | — | 67.8 |
| 3 | Betr | $3.40-2.0% | $3.05-8.5% | $2.30-5.3% | 5.7% | — | 60.0 |
| 4 | Dabble | $3.20-7.8% | $3.10-7.0% | $2.25-7.3% | 8.0% | — | 48.9 |
| 5 | Sportsbet | $3.20-7.8% | $3.25-2.5% | $2.30-5.3% | 5.5% | — | 34.4 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $3.40-2.0% | $3.00-10.0% | $2.25-7.3% | 7.2% | — | 27.8 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $3.20-7.8% | $3.00-10.0% | $2.28-6.1% | 8.4% | — | 26.7 |
| 8 | Unibet | $3.35-3.5% | $3.15-5.5% | $2.28-6.1% | 5.5% | — | 25.6 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $3.30-4.9% | $3.10-7.0% | $2.25-7.3% | 7.0% | — | 25.6 |
| 10 | TAB | $3.20-7.8% | $3.10-7.0% | $2.25-7.3% | 8.0% | — | 14.4 |
Scores computed 11 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →