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Greater Western Sydney Giants v Geelong Cats

AFL · Saturday 11 July, 6:15 am

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Fair market Greater Western Sydney Giants $2.51 Geelong Cats $1.66 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Greater Western Sydney GiantsGeelong Cats MarginPromo EVScore · Recreational
1 TAB $2.40-4.5% $1.58-4.9% 5.0% +9.9% Members 70.0
2 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $2.60+3.5% $1.61-3.1% 0.6% 67.0
3 Sportsbet $2.36-6.0% $1.59-4.3% 5.3% +9.9% Members 62.0
4 Bet Right $2.38-5.2% $1.58-4.9% 5.3% 51.0
5 Betr $2.35-6.4% $1.60-3.7% 5.1% 50.0
6 TABtouch $2.38-5.2% $1.57-5.5% 5.7% 48.0
7 Ladbrokes $2.40-4.5% $1.57-5.5% 5.4% 43.0
8 PointsBet $2.35-6.4% $1.58-4.9% 5.8% 26.0
9 Neds $2.40-4.5% $1.57-5.5% 5.4% 21.0
10 Unibet $2.33-7.2% $1.57-5.5% 6.6% 2.0
11 PlayUp $2.30-8.4% $1.60-3.7% 6.0% 0.0

Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →