Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
TENNIS · Sunday 5 July, 9:00 am
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Fair market
Naomi Osaka $2.94
Aryna Sabalenka $1.52
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Naomi Osaka | Aryna Sabalenka | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.10+5.4% | $1.46-3.7% | 0.8% | — | 85.0 |
| 2 | Unibet | $2.85-3.1% | $1.43-5.6% | 5.0% | — | 68.0 |
| 3 | Neds | $2.65-9.9% | $1.48-2.3% | 5.3% | — | 53.0 |
| 4 | Dabble | $2.80-4.8% | $1.45-4.3% | 4.7% | — | 44.0 |
| 5 | Betr | $2.75-6.5% | $1.44-5.0% | 5.8% | — | 38.0 |
| 6 | TABtouch | $2.85-3.1% | $1.43-5.6% | 5.0% | — | 37.0 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $2.80-4.8% | $1.44-5.0% | 5.2% | — | 33.0 |
| 8 | PointsBet | $2.75-6.5% | $1.43-5.6% | 6.3% | — | 32.0 |
| 9 | Ladbrokes | $2.65-9.9% | $1.48-2.3% | 5.3% | — | 26.0 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $2.75-6.5% | $1.45-4.3% | 5.3% | — | 13.0 |
| 11 | TAB | $2.80-4.8% | $1.42-6.3% | 6.1% | — | 11.0 |
Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →