Aryna Sabalenka v Naomi Osaka
TENNIS · Sunday 5 July, 9:00 am
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Fair market
Aryna Sabalenka $1.51
Naomi Osaka $2.95
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Aryna Sabalenka | Naomi Osaka | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.48-2.2% | $3.00+1.8% | 0.9% | — | 78.0 |
| 2 | Dabble | $1.46-3.5% | $2.75-6.7% | 4.9% | — | 73.5 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $1.42-6.2% | $2.89-1.9% | 5.0% | — | 63.5 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $1.46-3.5% | $2.70-8.4% | 5.5% | — | 58.5 |
| 5 | Betr | $1.42-6.2% | $2.80-5.0% | 6.1% | — | 50.5 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.46-3.5% | $2.70-8.4% | 5.5% | — | 35.5 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $1.36-10.1% | $2.88-2.3% | 8.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 8 | PointsBet | $1.43-5.5% | $2.75-6.7% | 6.3% | — | 23.0 |
| 9 | Unibet | $1.36-10.1% | $2.88-2.3% | 8.3% | — | 15.0 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $1.45-4.2% | $2.70-8.4% | 6.0% | — | 5.0 |
| 11 | TAB | $1.46-3.5% | $2.65-10.1% | 6.2% | — | 2.5 |
Scores computed 4 Jul 10:22 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →