Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
TENNIS · Sunday 5 July, 10:00 am
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Fair market
Novak Djokovic $1.24
Roman Safiullin $5.26
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Novak Djokovic | Roman Safiullin | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.19-3.6% | $6.00+14.2% | 0.7% | — | 87.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.16-6.1% | $5.30+0.9% | 5.1% | — | 67.0 |
| 3 | Dabble | $1.14-7.7% | $5.25-0.1% | 6.8% | — | 57.0 |
| 4 | TAB | $1.15-6.9% | $5.00-4.9% | 7.0% | — | 50.0 |
| 5 | PlayUp | $1.15-6.9% | $5.25-0.1% | 6.0% | — | 48.5 |
| 6 | Unibet | $1.20-2.8% | $4.60-12.5% | 5.1% | — | 31.0 |
| 7 | Neds | $1.19-3.6% | $4.60-12.5% | 5.8% | — | 29.5 |
| 8 | PointsBet | $1.18-4.5% | $4.75-9.6% | 5.8% | — | 29.0 |
| 9 | Betr | $1.17-5.3% | $4.85-7.7% | 6.1% | — | 19.5 |
| 10 | TABtouch | $1.20-2.8% | $4.60-12.5% | 5.1% | — | 11.0 |
| 11 | Ladbrokes | $1.19-3.6% | $4.60-12.5% | 5.8% | — | 10.5 |
Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →