Roman Safiullin v Novak Djokovic
TENNIS · Sunday 5 July, 10:00 am
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Fair market
Novak Djokovic $1.23
Roman Safiullin $5.30
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Novak Djokovic | Roman Safiullin | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.20-2.7% | $5.60+5.7% | 1.2% | — | 90.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.16-5.9% | $5.30+0.1% | 5.1% | — | 77.0 |
| 3 | TABtouch | $1.16-5.9% | $5.25-0.9% | 5.3% | — | 68.0 |
| 4 | Unibet | $1.16-5.9% | $5.25-0.9% | 5.3% | — | 45.0 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.17-5.1% | $5.00-5.6% | 5.5% | — | 39.0 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $1.16-5.9% | $5.00-5.6% | 6.2% | — | 35.0 |
| 7 | PlayUp | $1.18-4.3% | $4.75-10.3% | 5.8% | — | 28.0 |
| 8 | Neds | $1.17-5.1% | $5.00-5.6% | 5.5% | — | 25.0 |
| 9 | TAB | $1.18-4.3% | $4.75-10.3% | 5.8% | — | 22.0 |
| 10 | Betr | $1.16-5.9% | $5.00-5.6% | 6.2% | — | 14.0 |
| 11 | Dabble | $1.18-4.3% | $4.50-15.0% | 7.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 4 Jul 10:22 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →