Jannik Sinner v Shintaro Mochizuki
TENNIS · Sunday 5 July, 10:00 am
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Fair market
Shintaro Mochizuki $19.39
Jannik Sinner $1.05
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Shintaro Mochizuki | Jannik Sinner | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $30.00+54.7% | $1.03-2.3% | 0.4% | — | 90.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $19.00-2.0% | $1.01-4.2% | 4.3% | — | 64.4 |
| 3 | PlayUp | $26.00+34.1% | $1.01-4.2% | 2.9% | — | 62.2 |
| 4 | Neds | $16.00-17.5% | $1.01-4.2% | 5.3% | — | 53.3 |
| 5 | Unibet | $16.00-17.5% | $1.02-3.3% | 4.3% | — | 42.2 |
| 6 | Dabble | $23.00+18.6% | $1.01-4.2% | 3.4% | — | 25.6 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $16.00-17.5% | $1.01-4.2% | 5.3% | — | 23.3 |
| 8 | PointsBet | $15.00-22.6% | $1.01-4.2% | 5.7% | — | 23.3 |
| 9 | TABtouch | $16.00-17.5% | $1.02-3.3% | 4.3% | — | 13.3 |
| 10 | Betr | $14.25-26.5% | $1.01-4.2% | 6.0% | — | 2.2 |
Scores computed 5 Jul 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →