Portugal v Spain
WORLDCUP · Monday 6 July, 7:00 pm
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Fair market
Portugal $4.21
Draw $3.72
Spain $2.03
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Portugal | Draw | Spain | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.40+4.4% | $3.70-0.5% | $1.96-3.2% | 0.8% | — | 90.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $4.20-0.3% | $3.50-5.9% | $1.89-6.7% | 5.3% | — | 72.2 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $4.00-5.1% | $3.50-5.9% | $1.90-6.2% | 6.2% | — | 56.7 |
| 4 | Unibet | $3.90-7.5% | $3.55-4.5% | $1.93-4.7% | 5.6% | — | 48.9 |
| 5 | Betr | $3.90-7.5% | $3.60-3.2% | $1.90-6.2% | 6.1% | — | 46.7 |
| 6 | Bet Right | $3.80-9.8% | $3.50-5.9% | $1.90-6.2% | 7.5% | — | 31.1 |
| 7 | Dabble | $3.85-8.7% | $3.40-8.6% | $1.90-6.2% | 8.0% | — | 23.9 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $3.80-9.8% | $3.50-5.9% | $1.91-5.7% | 7.2% | — | 20.0 |
| 9 | TAB | $3.90-7.5% | $3.40-8.6% | $1.90-6.2% | 7.7% | — | 11.1 |
| 10 | PlayUp | $3.85-8.7% | $3.40-8.6% | $1.90-6.2% | 8.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 3 Jul 10:23 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →