Rafael Jodar v Shintaro Mochizuki
TENNIS · Friday 3 July, 11:30 am
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Fair market
Shintaro Mochizuki $3.66
Rafael Jodar $1.38
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Shintaro Mochizuki | Rafael Jodar | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.85+5.2% | $1.34-2.6% | 0.6% | — | 84.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $3.63-0.8% | $1.29-6.2% | 5.1% | — | 64.0 |
| 3 | TABtouch | $3.45-5.8% | $1.30-5.5% | 5.9% | — | 55.0 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $3.35-8.5% | $1.32-4.1% | 5.6% | — | 48.0 |
| 5 | PointsBet | $3.45-5.8% | $1.30-5.5% | 5.9% | — | 44.0 |
| 6 | PlayUp | $3.40-7.1% | $1.30-5.5% | 6.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 7 | TAB | $3.40-7.1% | $1.30-5.5% | 6.3% | — | 32.0 |
| 8 | Unibet | $3.45-5.8% | $1.30-5.5% | 5.9% | — | 30.0 |
| 9 | Neds | $3.35-8.5% | $1.32-4.1% | 5.6% | — | 22.0 |
| 10 | Betr | $3.45-5.8% | $1.30-5.5% | 5.9% | — | 17.0 |
| 11 | Dabble | $3.40-7.1% | $1.30-5.5% | 6.3% | — | 9.0 |
Scores computed 3 Jul 10:21 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →