USA v Belgium
WORLDCUP · Tuesday 7 July, 12:00 am
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Fair market
Draw $3.63
USA $2.68
Belgium $2.85
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | USA | Belgium | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.50-3.5% | $2.64-1.3% | $2.86+0.2% | 1.4% | — | 85.6 |
| 2 | Unibet | $3.50-3.5% | $2.55-4.7% | $2.65-7.1% | 5.5% | — | 67.8 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $3.35-7.6% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.75-3.6% | 6.2% | — | 63.3 |
| 4 | Betr | $3.50-3.5% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.65-7.1% | 6.3% | — | 50.0 |
| 5 | TAB | $3.40-6.2% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.70-5.4% | 6.4% | — | 43.3 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $3.40-6.2% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.65-7.1% | 7.1% | — | 30.0 |
| 7 | TABtouch | $3.45-4.9% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.63-7.8% | 7.0% | — | 28.9 |
| 8 | Bet Right | $3.50-3.5% | $2.45-8.4% | $2.60-8.9% | 7.8% | — | 18.9 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $3.30-9.0% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.65-7.1% | 8.0% | — | 13.3 |
| 10 | Dabble | $3.30-9.0% | $2.50-6.5% | $2.65-7.1% | 8.0% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 2 Jul 10:21 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →