Frances Tiafoe v Jan Choinski
TENNIS · Thursday 2 July, 1:30 pm
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Fair market
Jan Choinski $6.07
Frances Tiafoe $1.20
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Jan Choinski | Frances Tiafoe | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $6.80+12.1% | $1.15-4.0% | 1.7% | — | 87.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $6.70+10.4% | $1.11-7.3% | 5.0% | — | 68.0 |
| 3 | PointsBet | $6.00-1.1% | $1.12-6.5% | 6.0% | — | 64.0 |
| 4 | Neds | $5.60-7.7% | $1.14-4.8% | 5.6% | — | 58.0 |
| 5 | TABtouch | $5.75-5.2% | $1.14-4.8% | 5.1% | — | 54.0 |
| 6 | Ladbrokes | $5.60-7.7% | $1.14-4.8% | 5.6% | — | 26.0 |
| 7 | Unibet | $5.75-5.2% | $1.14-4.8% | 5.1% | — | 23.0 |
| 8 | Dabble | $5.00-17.6% | $1.15-4.0% | 7.0% | — | 23.0 |
| 9 | PlayUp | $5.25-13.5% | $1.15-4.0% | 6.0% | — | 20.0 |
| 10 | Betr | $6.00-1.1% | $1.12-6.5% | 6.0% | — | 14.0 |
| 11 | TAB | $5.00-17.6% | $1.15-4.0% | 7.0% | — | 3.0 |
Scores computed 2 Jul 10:22 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 11 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →