Nelson Birchall v Levi Giles
BOXING · Saturday 17 October, 6:00 pm
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Fair market
Nelson Birchall $1.21
Levi Giles $7.27
Draw $19.18
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Nelson Birchall | Levi Giles | Draw | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betr | $1.07-11.4% | $7.50+3.1% | — | 6.8% | — | 75.7 |
| 2 | Bet Right | $1.08-10.6% | $8.00+10.0% | — | 5.1% | — | 45.7 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.10-8.9% | $7.00-3.8% | $15.00-21.8% | 11.9% | — | 40.0 |
| 4 | Picklebet Au | $1.07-11.4% | $6.00-17.5% | — | 10.1% | — | 38.6 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $1.14-5.6% | $6.00-17.5% | $19.00-1.0% | 9.6% | — | 37.1 |
| 6 | Unibet | $1.14-5.6% | $6.50-10.6% | $19.00-1.0% | 8.4% | — | 37.1 |
| 7 | Sportsbet | $1.14-5.6% | $6.50-10.6% | $21.00+9.5% | 7.9% | — | 31.4 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $1.14-5.6% | $6.50-10.6% | $19.00-1.0% | 8.4% | — | 14.3 |
Scores computed 15 Oct 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 8 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →