Alfie Middlemiss v Gerard Hughes
BOXING · Saturday 19 September, 4:00 pm
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Fair market
Draw $21.29
Gerard Hughes $6.28
Alfie Middlemiss $1.23
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Gerard Hughes | Alfie Middlemiss | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bet Right | — | $6.25-0.4% | $1.12-9.0% | 5.3% | — | 76.3 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $21.00-1.4% | $6.00-4.4% | $1.16-5.8% | 7.6% | — | 52.5 |
| 3 | Unibet | $19.00-10.8% | $5.50-12.4% | $1.17-4.9% | 8.9% | — | 32.5 |
| 4 | Betr | — | $6.00-4.4% | $1.11-9.8% | 6.8% | — | 31.3 |
| 5 | TABtouch | $19.00-10.8% | $5.50-12.4% | $1.17-4.9% | 8.9% | — | 7.5 |
Scores computed 17 Sep 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 5 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →