Adelaide Crows v Western Bulldogs
AFL · Saturday 5 September, 9:35 am
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Fair market
Western Bulldogs $3.06
Adelaide Crows $1.49
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Western Bulldogs | Adelaide Crows | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TAB | $3.10+1.3% | $1.38-7.1% | 4.7% | +9.9% Members | 81.1 |
| 2 | PlayUp | $3.05-0.4% | $1.36-8.4% | 6.3% | — | 62.2 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $2.87-6.2% | $1.42-4.4% | 5.3% | +9.9% Members | 57.8 |
| 4 | Bet Right | $2.88-5.9% | $1.42-4.4% | 5.1% | — | 52.2 |
| 5 | Betr | $2.95-3.6% | $1.40-5.7% | 5.3% | — | 44.4 |
| 6 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.88-5.9% | $1.40-5.7% | 6.2% | — | 36.7 |
| 7 | Neds | $2.85-6.9% | $1.42-4.4% | 5.5% | — | 27.8 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $2.88-5.9% | $1.42-4.4% | 5.1% | — | 21.1 |
| 9 | Unibet | $2.80-8.5% | $1.42-4.4% | 6.1% | — | 8.9 |
| 10 | Ladbrokes | $2.85-6.9% | $1.42-4.4% | 5.5% | — | 7.8 |
Scores computed 30 Aug 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 10 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →