Sydney Swans v Brisbane Lions
AFL · Friday 4 September, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Sydney Swans $4.06
Brisbane Lions $1.33
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Sydney Swans | Brisbane Lions | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $4.00-1.5% | $1.31-1.3% | 1.3% | — | 80.0 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $3.82-5.9% | $1.27-4.3% | 4.9% | +9.9% Members | 52.5 |
| 3 | Neds | $3.90-3.9% | $1.26-5.0% | 5.0% | — | 37.5 |
| 4 | Ladbrokes | $3.90-3.9% | $1.26-5.0% | 5.0% | — | 17.5 |
| 5 | Dabble | $4.00-1.5% | $1.24-6.5% | 5.6% | — | 12.5 |
Scores computed 4 Sep 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 5 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →