Melbourne Demons v Carlton Blues
AFL · Saturday 29 August, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Melbourne Demons $2.09
Carlton Blues $1.92
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Melbourne Demons | Carlton Blues | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.94-7.2% | $1.90-0.9% | 4.2% | +9.9% Members | 81.7 |
| 2 | Bet Right | $1.90-9.1% | $1.90-0.9% | 5.3% | — | 68.3 |
| 3 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.12+1.4% | $1.72-10.3% | 5.3% | — | 40.0 |
| 4 | Betr | $1.95-6.7% | $1.85-3.5% | 5.3% | — | 35.0 |
| 5 | PointsBet | $1.90-9.1% | $1.90-0.9% | 5.3% | — | 30.0 |
| 6 | Neds | $2.00-4.3% | $1.80-6.1% | 5.6% | — | 23.3 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $2.00-4.3% | $1.80-6.1% | 5.6% | — | 1.7 |
Scores computed 23 Aug 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 7 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →