Western Bulldogs v Collingwood Magpies
AFL · Friday 28 August, 9:30 am
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Fair market
Western Bulldogs $2.08
Collingwood Magpies $1.92
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Western Bulldogs | Collingwood Magpies | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sportsbet | $1.98-5.0% | $1.86-3.3% | 4.3% | +15.4% ⓘ | 84.0 |
| 2 | Neds | $2.02-3.0% | $1.80-6.4% | 5.1% | — | 44.0 |
| 3 | TAB | $1.90-8.8% | $1.90-1.2% | 5.3% | +10.5% ⓘ | 42.0 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $2.02-3.0% | $1.81-5.9% | 4.8% | — | 42.0 |
| 5 | Ladbrokes | $2.02-3.0% | $1.80-6.4% | 5.1% | — | 18.0 |
| 6 | PointsBet | $1.95-6.4% | $1.85-3.8% | 5.3% | — | 10.0 |
Scores computed 23 Aug 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 6 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →