Netherlands v Morocco
soccer_world_cup · Tuesday 30 June, 1:00 am
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Fair market
Draw $3.30
Netherlands $2.26
Morocco $3.92
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Draw | Netherlands | Morocco | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Recreational | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $3.25-1.7% | $2.22-1.8% | $4.00+2.0% | 0.8% | — | 84.9 |
| 2 | Matchbook | $3.25-1.7% | $2.24-0.9% | $4.00+2.0% | 0.4% | — | 81.0 |
| 3 | Betfair Ex Uk | $3.25-1.7% | $2.24-0.9% | $4.00+2.0% | 0.4% | — | 78.5 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $3.25-1.7% | $2.24-0.9% | $4.00+2.0% | 0.4% | — | 75.4 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.80-3.1% | 5.1% | — | 75.4 |
| 6 | Unibet | $3.10-6.2% | $2.14-5.3% | $3.80-3.1% | 5.3% | — | 75.4 |
| 7 | Betus | $3.25-1.7% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.90-0.5% | 4.0% | — | 71.3 |
| 8 | Unibet Uk | $3.25-1.7% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.75-4.3% | 3.9% | — | 64.6 |
| 9 | Williamhill | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.5% | — | 61.0 |
| 10 | Fanduel | $3.00-9.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.90-0.5% | 5.5% | — | 59.0 |
| 11 | Sportsbet | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.90-0.5% | 4.4% | — | 50.0 |
| 12 | Skybet | $3.00-9.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.75-4.3% | 7.6% | — | 49.7 |
| 13 | Draftkings | $3.25-1.7% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.70-5.6% | 4.3% | — | 47.2 |
| 14 | Grosvenor | $3.00-9.2% | $2.20-2.7% | $3.75-4.3% | 5.5% | — | 46.2 |
| 15 | Coral | $3.20-3.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.70-5.6% | 5.9% | — | 45.1 |
| 16 | Paddypower | $3.00-9.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.80-3.1% | 7.3% | — | 44.4 |
| 17 | Betway | $3.10-6.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.60-8.2% | 7.7% | — | 43.3 |
| 18 | Ladbrokes Uk | $3.20-3.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.6% | — | 42.1 |
| 19 | Livescorebet | $3.05-7.7% | $2.12-6.2% | $3.70-5.6% | 7.0% | — | 40.0 |
| 20 | Betfred Uk | $3.25-1.7% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.50-10.7% | 5.9% | — | 38.5 |
| 21 | Betonlineag | $3.15-4.7% | $2.18-3.6% | $3.86-1.5% | 3.5% | — | 36.7 |
| 22 | TAB | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.5% | — | 36.2 |
| 23 | Leovegas | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.80-3.1% | 5.1% | — | 34.1 |
| 24 | PlayUp | $3.10-6.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.55-9.4% | 8.0% | — | 32.8 |
| 25 | Dabble | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.5% | — | 30.5 |
| 26 | Bet Right | $3.15-4.7% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.40-13.3% | 7.7% | — | 29.5 |
| 27 | Fanatics | $3.20-3.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.60-8.2% | 5.5% | — | 27.4 |
| 28 | Betr | $3.20-3.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.40-13.3% | 7.2% | — | 26.9 |
| 29 | TABtouch | $3.05-7.7% | $2.12-6.2% | $3.70-5.6% | 7.0% | — | 23.8 |
| 30 | Casumo | $3.10-6.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.80-3.1% | 5.1% | — | 23.8 |
| 31 | Bovada | $3.20-3.2% | $2.15-4.9% | $3.70-5.6% | 4.8% | — | 22.3 |
| 32 | PointsBet | $3.20-3.2% | $2.05-9.3% | $3.60-8.2% | 7.8% | — | 20.5 |
| 33 | Virginbet | $3.05-7.7% | $2.12-6.2% | $3.70-5.6% | 7.0% | — | 18.7 |
| 34 | Betfair Sb Uk | $2.63-20.4% | $2.00-11.5% | $3.50-10.7% | 16.6% | — | 16.7 |
| 35 | Betmgm | $3.20-3.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.6% | — | 15.9 |
| 36 | Mybookieag | $3.18-3.8% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.70-5.6% | 6.1% | — | 15.9 |
| 37 | Betvictor | $3.25-1.7% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.60-8.2% | 6.2% | — | 13.3 |
| 38 | Boylesports | $3.00-9.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.60-8.2% | 8.7% | — | 4.4 |
| 39 | Williamhill Us | $3.10-6.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.65-6.9% | 7.3% | — | 0.0 |
| 40 | Sport888 | $3.00-9.2% | $2.10-7.1% | $3.50-10.7% | 9.5% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 40 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Recreational preset weights: price edge 30%, promo value 40%, market margin 10%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →