Germany v Paraguay
soccer_world_cup · Monday 29 June, 8:30 pm
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Fair market
Germany $1.42
Draw $5.24
Paraguay $9.64
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Germany | Draw | Paraguay | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Smarkets | $1.36-4.1% | $5.40+3.0% | $11.49+19.2% | 0.8% | — | 85.4 |
| 2 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.37-3.4% | $5.40+3.0% | $11.50+19.3% | 0.2% | — | 82.6 |
| 3 | Matchbook | $1.37-3.4% | $5.40+3.0% | $11.00+14.1% | 0.6% | — | 80.5 |
| 4 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.37-3.4% | $5.40+3.0% | $11.50+19.3% | 0.2% | — | 80.0 |
| 5 | Betrivers | $1.33-6.2% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.00+3.7% | 5.2% | — | 75.9 |
| 6 | Unibet | $1.32-6.9% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.00+3.7% | 5.8% | — | 71.8 |
| 7 | Fanduel | $1.32-6.9% | $5.10-2.7% | $10.50+8.9% | 4.9% | — | 70.6 |
| 8 | Sportsbet | $1.33-6.2% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.50+8.9% | 4.7% | — | 61.4 |
| 9 | Unibet Uk | $1.35-4.8% | $5.25+0.2% | $9.00-6.6% | 4.2% | — | 60.5 |
| 10 | Betus | $1.36-4.1% | $5.15-1.7% | $8.75-9.2% | 4.4% | — | 57.4 |
| 11 | Paddypower | $1.30-8.3% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.00+3.7% | 6.9% | — | 54.2 |
| 12 | Betway | $1.33-6.2% | $5.25+0.2% | $8.50-11.8% | 6.0% | — | 52.7 |
| 13 | Livescorebet | $1.32-6.9% | $4.90-6.5% | $9.50-1.4% | 6.7% | — | 48.8 |
| 14 | Leovegas | $1.33-6.2% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.00+3.7% | 5.2% | — | 47.9 |
| 15 | Skybet | $1.30-8.3% | $4.80-8.4% | $9.50-1.4% | 8.3% | — | 47.3 |
| 16 | Betonlineag | $1.36-4.1% | $5.25+0.2% | $9.25-4.0% | 3.4% | — | 44.1 |
| 17 | Draftkings | $1.38-2.7% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.50-11.8% | 4.2% | — | 40.3 |
| 18 | Casumo | $1.33-6.2% | $5.00-4.6% | $10.00+3.7% | 5.2% | — | 40.3 |
| 19 | Fanatics | $1.33-6.2% | $5.25+0.2% | $9.00-6.6% | 5.3% | — | 38.5 |
| 20 | Betfred Uk | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.50-11.8% | 5.3% | — | 38.1 |
| 21 | TABtouch | $1.32-6.9% | $4.90-6.5% | $9.50-1.4% | 6.7% | — | 37.3 |
| 22 | PointsBet | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.50-11.8% | 5.3% | — | 35.8 |
| 23 | Virginbet | $1.32-6.9% | $4.90-6.5% | $9.50-1.4% | 6.7% | — | 33.2 |
| 24 | Dabble | $1.35-4.8% | $4.75-9.4% | $9.00-6.6% | 6.2% | — | 32.4 |
| 25 | Williamhill | $1.35-4.8% | $4.80-8.4% | $8.00-17.0% | 7.4% | — | 31.8 |
| 26 | Ladbrokes Uk | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.00-17.0% | 6.0% | — | 31.8 |
| 27 | Coral | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.00-17.0% | 6.0% | — | 28.2 |
| 28 | TAB | $1.35-4.8% | $4.50-14.1% | $9.00-6.6% | 7.4% | — | 27.1 |
| 29 | PlayUp | $1.35-4.8% | $4.60-12.2% | $8.50-11.8% | 7.6% | — | 22.2 |
| 30 | Betvictor | $1.33-6.2% | $5.00-4.6% | $9.00-6.6% | 6.3% | — | 22.1 |
| 31 | Grosvenor | $1.34-5.5% | $4.50-14.1% | $9.00-6.6% | 8.0% | — | 19.6 |
| 32 | Betr | $1.35-4.8% | $4.75-9.4% | $8.25-14.4% | 7.2% | — | 18.7 |
| 33 | Bet Right | $1.35-4.8% | $4.75-9.4% | $8.00-17.0% | 7.6% | — | 17.4 |
| 34 | Boylesports | $1.33-6.2% | $4.75-9.4% | $9.00-6.6% | 7.4% | — | 16.3 |
| 35 | Mybookieag | $1.34-5.5% | $5.10-2.7% | $8.40-12.9% | 6.1% | — | 15.8 |
| 36 | Bovada | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.25-14.4% | 5.7% | — | 13.7 |
| 37 | Betmgm | $1.36-4.1% | $5.00-4.6% | $8.00-17.0% | 6.0% | — | 12.3 |
| 38 | Betfair Sb Uk | $1.29-9.0% | $4.20-19.9% | $8.50-11.8% | 13.1% | — | 7.4 |
| 39 | Williamhill Us | $1.34-5.5% | $4.80-8.4% | $8.50-11.8% | 7.2% | — | 1.9 |
| 40 | Sport888 | $1.33-6.2% | $4.80-8.4% | $7.50-22.2% | 9.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 40 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →