Germany v Paraguay
WORLDCUP · Monday 29 June, 8:30 pm
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Fair market
Germany $1.41
Draw $5.31
Paraguay $9.85
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Germany | Draw | Paraguay | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Balanced | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.38-2.0% | $5.30-0.2% | $10.50+6.6% | 0.0% | — | 86.2 |
| 2 | Sportsbet | $1.33-5.6% | $5.00-5.8% | $9.50-3.5% | 4.3% | — | 81.3 |
| 3 | Smarkets | $1.36-3.4% | $5.40+1.7% | $11.49+16.7% | 0.8% | — | 77.4 |
| 4 | Unibet | $1.36-3.4% | $4.80-9.6% | $9.00-8.6% | 5.7% | — | 74.6 |
| 5 | Betfair Ex Uk | $1.37-2.7% | $5.40+1.7% | $11.50+16.8% | 0.2% | — | 74.2 |
| 6 | Matchbook | $1.37-2.7% | $5.40+1.7% | $11.00+11.7% | 0.6% | — | 71.4 |
| 7 | Betrivers | $1.33-5.6% | $5.00-5.8% | $10.00+1.5% | 5.2% | — | 65.6 |
| 8 | TABtouch | $1.35-4.1% | $4.70-11.5% | $8.50-13.7% | 7.3% | — | 62.8 |
| 9 | Fanduel | $1.32-6.3% | $5.10-3.9% | $10.50+6.6% | 4.9% | — | 61.2 |
| 10 | Dabble | $1.37-2.7% | $4.75-10.5% | $8.50-13.7% | 6.3% | — | 60.1 |
| 11 | PlayUp | $1.36-3.4% | $4.60-13.3% | $8.50-13.7% | 6.9% | — | 58.3 |
| 12 | TAB | $1.38-2.0% | $4.50-15.2% | $8.50-13.7% | 6.9% | — | 56.8 |
| 13 | PointsBet | $1.31-7.0% | $5.25-1.1% | $9.00-8.6% | 6.5% | — | 55.4 |
| 14 | Unibet Uk | $1.35-4.1% | $5.25-1.1% | $9.00-8.6% | 4.2% | — | 49.9 |
| 15 | Leovegas | $1.33-5.6% | $5.00-5.8% | $10.00+1.5% | 5.2% | — | 45.6 |
| 16 | Betus | $1.36-3.4% | $5.15-3.0% | $8.75-11.1% | 4.4% | — | 45.3 |
| 17 | Bet Right | $1.34-4.9% | $4.60-13.3% | $9.00-8.6% | 7.3% | — | 44.5 |
| 18 | Paddypower | $1.30-7.7% | $5.00-5.8% | $10.00+1.5% | 6.9% | — | 43.2 |
| 19 | Betonlineag | $1.36-3.4% | $5.25-1.1% | $9.25-6.1% | 3.4% | — | 42.9 |
| 20 | Betway | $1.33-5.6% | $5.25-1.1% | $8.50-13.7% | 6.0% | — | 40.5 |
| 21 | Betr | $1.35-4.1% | $4.70-11.5% | $8.75-11.1% | 7.3% | — | 38.1 |
| 22 | Casumo | $1.33-5.6% | $5.00-5.8% | $10.00+1.5% | 5.2% | — | 37.9 |
| 23 | Livescorebet | $1.32-6.3% | $4.90-7.7% | $9.50-3.5% | 6.7% | — | 36.9 |
| 24 | Fanatics | $1.33-5.6% | $5.25-1.1% | $9.00-8.6% | 5.3% | — | 35.4 |
| 25 | Skybet | $1.30-7.7% | $4.80-9.6% | $9.50-3.5% | 8.3% | — | 34.7 |
| 26 | Draftkings | $1.38-2.0% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.50-13.7% | 4.2% | — | 31.5 |
| 27 | Virginbet | $1.32-6.3% | $4.90-7.7% | $9.50-3.5% | 6.7% | — | 28.2 |
| 28 | Betfred Uk | $1.36-3.4% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.50-13.7% | 5.3% | — | 27.1 |
| 29 | Ladbrokes Uk | $1.36-3.4% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.00-18.8% | 6.0% | — | 23.6 |
| 30 | Williamhill | $1.35-4.1% | $4.80-9.6% | $8.00-18.8% | 7.4% | — | 21.5 |
| 31 | Coral | $1.36-3.4% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.00-18.8% | 6.0% | — | 20.0 |
| 32 | Betvictor | $1.33-5.6% | $5.00-5.8% | $9.00-8.6% | 6.3% | — | 17.8 |
| 33 | Mybookieag | $1.34-4.9% | $5.10-3.9% | $8.40-14.7% | 6.1% | — | 11.5 |
| 34 | Grosvenor | $1.34-4.9% | $4.50-15.2% | $9.00-8.6% | 8.0% | — | 11.0 |
| 35 | Boylesports | $1.33-5.6% | $4.75-10.5% | $9.00-8.6% | 7.4% | — | 10.5 |
| 36 | Bovada | $1.36-3.4% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.25-16.2% | 5.7% | — | 9.5 |
| 37 | Betmgm | $1.36-3.4% | $5.00-5.8% | $8.00-18.8% | 6.0% | — | 9.2 |
| 38 | Betfair Sb Uk | $1.29-8.4% | $4.20-20.9% | $8.50-13.7% | 13.1% | — | 3.3 |
| 39 | Williamhill Us | $1.34-4.9% | $4.80-9.6% | $8.50-13.7% | 7.2% | — | 0.0 |
| 40 | Sport888 | $1.33-5.6% | $4.80-9.6% | $7.50-23.8% | 9.4% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 am · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 40 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →