Newcastle Knights v Dolphins
nrl · Sunday 5 July, 6:05 am
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Fair market
Dolphins $1.81
Newcastle Knights $2.23
de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
| Bookie | Dolphins | Newcastle Knights | Margin | Promo EV | Score · Value hunter | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Casumo | $1.71-5.7% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.0% | — | 77.7 |
| 2 | TABtouch | $1.71-5.7% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.0% | — | 70.0 |
| 3 | Sportsbet | $1.69-6.8% | $2.17-2.7% | 5.3% | — | 68.5 |
| 4 | TAB | $1.70-6.2% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.3% | — | 63.8 |
| 5 | Leovegas | $1.71-5.7% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.0% | — | 60.8 |
| 6 | Neds | $1.70-6.2% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.3% | — | 52.3 |
| 7 | Ladbrokes | $1.70-6.2% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.3% | — | 45.4 |
| 8 | Betrivers | $1.70-6.2% | $2.14-4.0% | 5.6% | — | 32.3 |
| 9 | Betr | $1.70-6.2% | $2.15-3.6% | 5.3% | — | 26.9 |
| 10 | Unibet | $1.70-6.2% | $2.14-4.0% | 5.6% | — | 24.6 |
| 11 | PointsBet | $1.65-9.0% | $2.20-1.3% | 6.1% | — | 21.5 |
| 12 | Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission | $1.02-43.7% | $1.02-54.3% | 96.1% | — | 10.0 |
| 13 | PlayUp | $1.68-7.4% | $2.15-3.6% | 6.0% | — | 8.5 |
| 14 | Grosvenor | $1.68-7.4% | $2.12-4.9% | 6.7% | — | 0.0 |
Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market
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How this ranking works
Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 14 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →