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Newcastle Knights v Dolphins

NRL · Sunday 5 July, 6:05 am

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Fair market Newcastle Knights $2.24 Dolphins $1.81 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Newcastle KnightsDolphins MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $2.22-1.0% $1.73-4.2% 2.8% 73.0
2 Sportsbet $2.17-3.2% $1.69-6.4% 5.3% +9.9% Members 68.0
3 TAB $2.10-6.3% $1.74-3.6% 5.1% 60.3
4 Dabble $2.15-4.1% $1.70-5.8% 5.3% +9.9% Members 58.3
5 Casumo $2.15-4.1% $1.71-5.3% 5.0% 54.3
6 PointsBet $2.15-4.1% $1.70-5.8% 5.3% 54.3
7 Leovegas $2.15-4.1% $1.71-5.3% 5.0% 47.7
8 TABtouch $2.06-8.1% $1.77-2.0% 5.0% 44.7
9 Bet Right $2.11-5.9% $1.73-4.2% 5.2% 38.3
10 Betr $2.15-4.1% $1.70-5.8% 5.3% 34.3
11 Ladbrokes $2.10-6.3% $1.73-4.2% 5.4% +9.9% Members 32.3
12 PlayUp $2.15-4.1% $1.68-6.9% 6.0% 26.3
13 Neds $2.10-6.3% $1.73-4.2% 5.4% 25.0
14 Unibet $2.04-9.0% $1.76-2.5% 5.8% 17.0
15 Betrivers $2.14-4.5% $1.70-5.8% 5.6% 16.0
16 Grosvenor $2.12-5.4% $1.68-6.9% 6.7% 0.0

Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 16 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →