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St George Illawarra Dragons v Wests Tigers

nrl · Saturday 4 July, 7:30 am

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Fair market Wests Tigers $1.61 St George Illawarra Dragons $2.64 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Wests TigersSt George Illawarra Dragons MarginPromo EVScore · Value hunter
1 Sportsbet $1.46-9.2% $2.75+4.0% 4.9% 83.8
2 Neds $1.50-6.7% $2.65+0.2% 4.4% 78.5
3 Ladbrokes $1.50-6.7% $2.65+0.2% 4.4% 71.5
4 PointsBet $1.45-9.8% $2.70+2.1% 6.0% 58.5
5 TAB $1.50-6.7% $2.60-1.7% 5.1% 46.9
6 Casumo $1.49-7.3% $2.63-0.6% 5.1% 46.9
7 PlayUp $1.45-9.8% $2.70+2.1% 6.0% 42.3
8 TABtouch $1.49-7.3% $2.63-0.6% 5.1% 39.2
9 Leovegas $1.49-7.3% $2.63-0.6% 5.1% 30.0
10 Betr $1.50-6.7% $2.60-1.7% 5.1% 22.3
11 Betrivers $1.48-8.0% $2.60-1.7% 6.0% 20.0
12 Unibet $1.48-8.0% $2.60-1.7% 6.0% 12.3
13 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $1.02-36.6% $1.02-61.4% 96.1% 10.0
14 Grosvenor $1.47-8.6% $2.60-1.7% 6.5% 0.0

Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 14 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →