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Casey Dixon v Michael Nelson

BOXING · Saturday 15 August, 11:00 pm

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Fair market Casey Dixon $1.13 Michael Nelson $10.47 Draw $26.86 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Casey DixonMichael NelsonDraw MarginPromo EVScore · Value hunter
1 Unibet $1.07-5.2% $10.00-4.4% $25.00-6.9% 7.5% 76.7
2 TABtouch $1.07-5.2% $10.00-4.4% $25.00-6.9% 7.5% 43.3
3 Bet Right $1.05-7.0% $10.00-4.4% 5.2% 36.7
4 Betr $1.04-7.9% $9.25-11.6% 7.0% 3.3

Scores computed 14 Aug 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 4 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →