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Gold Coast Suns v Collingwood Magpies

afl · Saturday 4 July, 6:15 am

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Fair market Gold Coast Suns $1.71 Collingwood Magpies $2.41 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Gold Coast SunsCollingwood Magpies MarginPromo EVScore · Balanced
1 Casumo $1.62-5.3% $2.30-4.5% 5.2% 70.8
2 TAB $1.60-6.4% $2.35-2.4% 5.1% 66.7
3 TABtouch $1.62-5.3% $2.30-4.5% 5.2% 60.0
4 Sportsbet $1.60-6.4% $2.35-2.4% 5.1% 50.8
5 Betr $1.60-6.4% $2.35-2.4% 5.1% 50.8
6 Neds $1.60-6.4% $2.30-4.5% 6.0% 49.2
7 Ladbrokes $1.60-6.4% $2.30-4.5% 6.0% 42.5
8 Grosvenor $1.62-5.3% $2.30-4.5% 5.2% 40.0
9 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $1.60-6.4% $2.12-12.0% 9.7% 28.8
10 Paddypower $1.62-5.3% $2.25-6.6% 6.2% 24.6
11 Betfair Ex Uk $1.60-6.4% $2.12-12.0% 9.7% 15.4
12 Unibet $1.61-5.9% $2.25-6.6% 6.6% 11.7
13 Draftkings $1.59-7.0% $2.30-4.5% 6.4% 8.8

Scores computed 28 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 13 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Balanced preset weights: price edge 45%, promo value 20%, market margin 15%, market depth 10%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →