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Sydney Swans v Western Bulldogs

AFL · Friday 3 July, 9:40 am

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Fair market Western Bulldogs $3.34 Sydney Swans $1.43 de-vigged consensus · exchange-weighted
Balanced Value hunter Recreational
Bookie Western BulldogsSydney Swans MarginPromo EVScore · Value hunter
1 TAB $3.20-4.2% $1.36-4.7% 4.8% +9.9% Members 75.0
2 Betfair Ex Uk $3.55+6.3% $1.33-6.8% 3.4% 73.8
3 Dabble $3.25-2.7% $1.35-5.4% 4.8% 73.4
4 Sportsbet $3.14-6.0% $1.37-4.0% 4.8% +9.9% Members 70.0
5 Neds $3.15-5.7% $1.36-4.7% 5.3% 54.1
6 PlayUp $3.20-4.2% $1.34-6.1% 5.9% 48.8
7 Bet Right $3.15-5.7% $1.36-4.7% 5.3% 44.1
8 Paddypower $3.25-2.7% $1.33-6.8% 6.0% 43.8
9 Ladbrokes $3.15-5.7% $1.36-4.7% 5.3% 41.6
10 Betfair exchange · prices shown pre-commission $3.25-2.7% $1.37-4.0% 3.8% 41.6
11 Casumo $3.15-5.7% $1.36-4.7% 5.3% 30.0
12 Betr $3.10-7.2% $1.37-4.0% 5.3% 29.7
13 Grosvenor $3.15-5.7% $1.36-4.7% 5.3% 21.3
14 TABtouch $3.10-7.2% $1.36-4.7% 5.8% 18.4
15 PointsBet $3.10-7.2% $1.36-4.7% 5.8% 14.7
16 Unibet $3.05-8.7% $1.36-4.7% 6.3% 6.3
17 Draftkings $3.10-7.2% $1.34-6.1% 6.9% 0.0

Scores computed 29 Jun 10:20 pm · snapshot retained for audit · edge chips show each price against the fair market

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How this ranking works

Every price is measured against a fair market built by de-vigging all 17 books pricing this event (the exchange, with commission removed, is weighted double). The Value hunter preset weights: price edge 60%, promo value 5%, market margin 20%, market depth 5%, bookmaker reliability 10%. Stale feeds are penalised up to 10 points. Full methodology →